This section describes the detection model that we evaluated. The model represents a preliminary prototype for use in detecting disease outbreaks that would result from an outdoor, airborne release of anthrax spores. The model plus the inference algorithms constitute a Bayesian biosurveillance system that we call PANDA (Population-wide ANomaly Detection and Assessment). We conclude this section with a description of the method we used to evaluate PANDA, as well as the results of that evaluation.
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